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Economics & the Economy Archive

Friday

5

February 2010

1

COMMENTS

No Deficit In Hypocrisy For Krugman

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy

Paul Krugman’s latest op-ed says deficits don’t matter.  It’s all just hysterics driven by politics:

These days it’s hard to pick up a newspaper or turn on a news program without encountering stern warnings about the federal budget deficit. The deficit threatens economic recovery, we’re told; it puts American economic stability at risk; it will undermine our influence in the world. These claims generally aren’t stated as opinions, as views held by some analysts but disputed by others. Instead, they’re reported as if they were facts, plain and simple.

…So why the sudden ubiquity of deficit scare stories? It isn’t being driven by any actual news. It has been obvious for at least a year that the U.S. government would face an extended period of large deficits, and projections of those deficits haven’t changed much since last summer. Yet the drumbeat of dire fiscal warnings has grown vastly louder.

To me — and I’m not alone in this — the sudden outbreak of deficit hysteria brings back memories of the groupthink that took hold during the run-up to the Iraq war. Now, as then, dubious allegations, not backed by hard evidence, are being reported as if they have been established beyond a shadow of a doubt. Now, as then, much of the political and media establishments have bought into the notion that we must take drastic action quickly, even though there hasn’t been any new information to justify this sudden urgency. Now, as then, those who challenge the prevailing narrative, no matter how strong their case and no matter how solid their background, are being marginalized.

Krugman’s head is firmly in the sand on today’s massive, runaway deficit.  He’s clinging desperately to the Keynesian claptrap about spending our way to prosperity and one day, after government has grown so big and the economy is in stimulated utopia and we’re all millionaires, reigning in public spending.

But it wasn’t always so.  In 2003, when the 10-year deficit projection was a mere fraction of what it is today, Krugman was sounding the alarm:

Last week the Congressional Budget Office marked down its estimates yet again. Just two years ago, you may remember, the C.B.O. was projecting a 10-year surplus of $5.6 trillion. Now it projects a 10-year deficit of $1.8 trillion.

And that’s way too optimistic. The Congressional Budget Office operates under ground rules that force it to wear rose-colored lenses. If you take into account — as the C.B.O. cannot — the effects of likely changes in the alternative minimum tax, include realistic estimates of future spending and allow for the cost of war and reconstruction, it’s clear that the 10-year deficit will be at least $3 trillion.

So what? Two years ago the administration promised to run large surpluses. A year ago it said the deficit was only temporary. Now it says deficits don’t matter. But we’re looking at a fiscal crisis that will drive interest rates sky-high.

…But what’s really scary — what makes a fixed-rate mortgage seem like such a good idea — is the looming threat to the federal government’s solvency.

So smaller deficits under Bush are a “fiscal crisis” and part of a “looming threat to the federal government’s solvency.”  But today’s massive deficits under the Democrats just don’t matter, and anyone who says otherwise is a scaremonger promoting “deficit hysteria.”

Just another day in hypocrite paradise.

Wednesday

3

February 2010

0

COMMENTS

Stupid Ideas Just Don't Die

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy

Keynes’ iron grip on elected officials isn’t letting up:

Rep. James Clyburn (D-S.C.), the House majority whip, said that trying to find greater savings in the budget, which was released by President Barack Obama this morning, wouldn’t help alleviate the recession.

“We’ve got to make some decisions here as to what’s in the best interests of our country going forward,” Clyburn said during an appearance on Fox News. “And I think the best interest is to invest in education, control these deficits, while at the same time trying to get people back to work.”

“We’re not going to save our way out of this recession,” the majority whip added. “We’ve got to spend our way out of this recession, and I think most economists know that.”

Next up, James Clyburn teaches us how to drink our way out of alcoholism.

Keep in mind, this is the third highest ranking member in the U.S. House.  Comforting, isn’t it?

Monday

25

January 2010

0

COMMENTS

Monday

25

January 2010

0

COMMENTS

Bragging About Inefficiency

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy, Energy and the Environment

This is a couple months old, but it’s remarkable enough to be worth the belated mention.  In a letter to the President promoting “green technology,” six liberal Senators brag about how inefficient their pet project of solar technology is.  No lie.

They say that solar power “creates more jobs per megawatt of energy produced than any other form of energy.”  And they consider that a good thing!

Apparently this needs reiterating. Creating jobs is not the goal of economic activity, it’s a byproduct, albeit an important one. Labor, properly understood, is a cost. If jobs were all that mattered we could pay people to dig holes and fill them up again, or outlaw all machines that enhance productivity at the expense of a particular job once done by human labor. Of course, the result would be less overall productivity and a lower standard of living for all.

Hat-tip: Planet Gore on NRO

Friday

15

January 2010

0

COMMENTS

Krugman Wants To Learn From France, But Ignores History

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy, Health Care, Welfare & Entitlements, The Nanny State & A Regulated Society

We don’t need to fear turning America into France by passing ObamaCare, says Paul Krugman in a recent column. After all, European welfare state economies are doing great!  What’s his proof?  Just trust your eyes!

Actually, Europe’s economic success should be obvious even without statistics. For those Americans who have visited Paris: did it look poor and backward? What about Frankfurt or London? You should always bear in mind that when the question is which to believe — official economic statistics or your own lying eyes — the eyes have it.

What Krugman doesn’t say is that none of these European welfare states actually got their wealth by being welfare states. They got wealthy the way all countries do: through liberal markets and free trade. They then built massive welfare states on top of already wealthy societies. And lo and behold, when they did that their growth rates dropped significantly. They trade away higher future levels of prosperity for the illusion of present day security. That seems like an ok trade when it’s first made, but as more and more time passes, the difference between what people have and what they could have had with a more dynamic economy renders it a bum deal. And that’s before getting into arguments about the inherent instability in large, bureaucratic government and centrally planned societies.

Krugman does later provide some manner of statistical support for his apparent contention that there are no economic trade-offs (that’s his theme these days: no costs for implementing the radical agenda!) for instituting a cradle-to-grave nanny state, but Greg Mankiw’s numbers are better.

Monday

11

January 2010

0

COMMENTS

Biomass Subsidies Backfire

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy, Free Markets

More unintended consequences from government interventionism in the market, via WaPo:

…In a matter of months, the Biomass Crop Assistance Program — a small provision tucked into the 2008 farm bill — has mushroomed into a half-a-billion dollar subsidy that is funneling taxpayer dollars to sawmills and lumber wholesalers, encouraging them to sell their waste to be converted into high-tech biofuels. In doing so, it is shutting off the supply of cheap timber byproducts to the nation’s composite wood manufacturers, who make panels for home entertainment centers and kitchen cabinets.While it remains unclear whether Congress or the Obama administration will push to revamp the program, even some businesses that should benefit from the subsidy are beginning to question its value.

“It’s not right. It’s not serving any purpose,” said Bob Jordan, president of Jordan Lumber & Supply in North Carolina, even while noting that he might be able to get twice as much money for his mill’s sawdust and shavings under the program.

“The best thing they could do is forget about it. All it’s doing is driving the price of wood up.”

Subsidies, by their very nature, distort markets.  While this specific outcome may or may have not been foreseeable, that there would have been some destruction by forcing a good to be used for a different purpose than the market generally allocates it should have been obvious.

But don’t count on government deciding to “forget about it,” despite the damaging evidence.  The deep-seated desire of some to save civilization by promoting “green technology” is based on a near-religious fanaticism in support of AGW.  If it hasn’t been shaken by ClimateGate and today’s global cooling, a little economics isn’t going to do it either.  The only hope is to vote them all out.

Saturday

2

January 2010

0

COMMENTS

The G Stands For Government

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy

GMAC is the latest entity in which the federal government has taken a majority stake:

The federal government said Wednesday that it will take majority control of troubled auto lender GMAC and provide an additional $3.8 billion in aid to the company, which has been unable to raise from private investors the money it needs to staunch its losses.

Is it just me, or would it not be obviously beneficial to stop and ask just why it is that private investors aren’t willing to give them money? Perhaps there is a lesson we can learn from them that would be of benefit to the taxpayers responsible for producing this $3.8 billion.

The Treasury Department has said for months that GMAC would need more federal money, but the decision to increase the government’s ownership stake came as a surprise, cutting against the grain of the Obama administration’s recent efforts to wind down its bailout of large banks.

Who could they possibly have found that is surprised by yet another foray into the private sector by this interventionist White House? Under what rock must such a person have been living for the last year?

Sunday

27

December 2009

1

COMMENTS

Fannie And Freddie Have A Very Merry Christmas

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy

The outrageous story of the week is Obama’s decision to try and sneak this by during Christmas:

The Obama administration pledged Thursday to provide unlimited financial assistance to mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, an eleventh-hour move that allows the government to exceed the current $400 billion cap on emergency aid without seeking permission from a bailout-weary Congress.

The Christmas Eve announcement by the Treasury Department means that it can continue to run the companies, which were seized last year, as arms of the government for the rest of President Obama’s current term.

Merry Christmas, and have a Happy New Year of watching government continue to do all the same idiotic meddling that destroyed our housing and financial markets.

Thursday

17

December 2009

0

COMMENTS

Expecting Sound Government Policy Makes You A "Vigilante"

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy, Media Bias

That according to the New York Times, anyway.

You see, bond traders who make sound market decisions based on government policy are apparently “pressuring” governments not to spend recklessly, much in the same way that stock traders “pressure” companies not to piss money down the toilet.  In the eyes of the New York Times, this is somehow nefarious.

The bond vigilantes are back.

But this time they are roaming mostly through Europe rather than the United States — at least for now. Their mission: to force governments to cut budget deficits that have ballooned in the wake of the financial crisis.

…Although the left-leaning governments in both countries are struggling to show investors that they have a workable plan to reduce deficits — which now average around 13 percent of gross domestic product — bond traders are increasingly demanding higher interest rates to reflect the rising risks.

No! How dare these “vigilantes” go around “roaming” the streets, just looking for good leftist governments to beat up on!?

Thursday

10

December 2009

0

COMMENTS

Obama Resists Efforts To Make Recession About Race

Written by , Posted in Economics & the Economy, Identity Politics

Although he hasn’t been afraid to play the identity politics game on other issues, President Obama deserves credit for so far resisting the attempts from people like Jesse Jackson to turn our recession into yet another issue about race.

The Rev. Jesse Jackson has joined black lawmakers in their push to get the White House to do more to directly help African American communities disproportionately hurt by the nation’s severe economic recession.

Jackson, who noted that he was not invited to President Obama’s recent jobs summit, said he has requested a meeting with Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner to talk about economic aid for depressed minority communities. No meeting has been set.

In recent days, Obama has pushed back at the idea that his administration should focus economic revitalization policies on specific ethnic and racial groups. In an interview with USA Today and the Detroit Free Press last week, the president said, “The most important thing I can do for the African American community is the same thing I can do for the American community, period, and that is get the economy going again and get people hiring again.”

The President is exactly right here.  Helping the entire economy is right now the best way to help any particular subset of the population.

Now if we can just get him to look at policies that will actually help the economy, instead of constantly aiming to squeeze it under the twin burdens of higher taxation and greater regulation.